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Monthly Archives: January 2013

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If only US Treasuries came with this kind of warning label.  Poor time to be buying longer duration USTs (loaning money to the government); on the flip side, it is a GREAT time for the US Gov. to borrow money / refinance their debts.  Keep in mind, over the long haul the 10 year UST averaged about a 5% yield (with some pretty massive swings).  Even if rates get halfway to their long term average you’re looking at an 8% discount to par.  Pretty lousy returns for what is widely viewed as a “risk free” asset.

Source: WSJ

Looks like the long Lumber short Orange Juice trade would have made you a bundle in 2012.  Was there anyone out there that saw that coming?

Also, it looks like the Japanese were much better at debasing their currency / inflating their stock market than their American counterparts.  Oh well, better luck in 2013!

Postscript: it turns out the chart embedded below updates automatically, so it is no longer illustrative of the post above…

Just when you thought you’ve seen everything, someone goes and makes a web site like this (the running cat is in fact a link).  Apparently it’s been around since 2011 and the original incarnation, a YouTube video, ranked as the #5 most viewed video in 2011.

Hat tip: LS

…. Now back to our regularly scheduled program…